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Two Reasons to Watch HRI and One to Stay Cautious

HRI Cover Image

The past six months have been a windfall for Herc’s shareholders. The company’s stock price has jumped 68.4%, hitting $233.81 per share. This was partly thanks to its solid quarterly results, and the run-up might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is now still a good time to buy HRI? Or is this a case of a company fueled by heightened investor enthusiasm? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does HRI Stock Spark Debate?

Formerly a subsidiary of Hertz Corporation and with a logo that still bears some similarities to its former parent, Herc Holdings (NYSE:HRI) provides equipment rental and related services to a wide range of industries.

Two Things to Like:

1. Skyrocketing Revenue Shows Strong Momentum

A company’s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. While any business can experience short-term success, top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Thankfully, Herc’s 11.5% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was impressive. Its growth surpassed the average industrials company and shows its offerings resonate with customers. Herc Quarterly Revenue

2. Outstanding Long-Term EPS Growth

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) because it highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Herc’s EPS grew at an astounding 33.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 11.5% annualized revenue growth. This tells us the company became more profitable on a per-share basis as it expanded.

Herc Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

One Reason to be Careful:

Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

If you’ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can’t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

As you can see below, Herc’s margin dropped by 9.2 percentage points over the last five years. If this trend continues, it could signal it’s becoming a more capital-intensive business. Herc’s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 10.1%.

Herc Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

Herc’s merits more than compensate for its flaws, and with the recent rally, the stock trades at 16.2x forward price-to-earnings (or $233.81 per share). Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More Than Herc

With rates dropping, inflation stabilizing, and the elections in the rearview mirror, all signs point to the start of a new bull run - and we’re laser-focused on finding the best stocks for this upcoming cycle.

Put yourself in the driver’s seat by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,691% between September 2019 and September 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Comfort Systems (+783% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

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