425
     

Filed by Agrium Inc.

(Commission File No. 333-157966)

Pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act of 1933

 

Subject Company:

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.


Fundamentals of Growth
Agrium:
Growing Across the
Value Chain
June 2009


Fundamentals of Growth
2
Important Information
This
presentation
does
not
constitute
an
offer
to
exchange,
or
a
solicitation
of
an
offer
to
exchange,
common
stock
of
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (“CF”), nor is it a substitute for the Tender Offer Statement on Schedule TO or the
Prospectus/Offer to Exchange included in the Registration Statement on Form F-4 (including the Letter of Transmittal
and related documents) (collectively, as amended from time to time, the “Exchange Offer Documents”) filed by Agrium
Inc. (“Agrium”) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on March 16, 2009, as amended. The
Registration Statement on Form F-4 has not yet become effective. The offer to exchange is made only through the
Exchange Offer Documents. INVESTORS AND SECURITY HOLDERS OF AGRIUM AND CF ARE URGED TO READ
THE EXCHANGE OFFER DOCUMENTS AND OTHER RELEVANT MATERIALS FILED WITH THE SEC
CAREFULLY IN THEIR ENTIRETY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN
IMPORTANT INFORMATION ABOUT THE OFFER TO EXCHANGE.
Copies of any documents filed by Agrium with the SEC are available free of charge through the web site maintained by
the SEC at www.sec.gov, by calling the SEC at telephone number 800-SEC-0330 or by directing a request to the
Agrium Investor Relations/Media Department, Agrium Inc, 13131 Lake Fraser Drive S.E., Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2J
7E8. Free copies of any such documents can also be obtained by calling Georgeson Inc. toll-free at (866) 318-0506.
Agrium,
North,
their
respective
directors
and
executive
officers
and
certain
other
persons
are
deemed
to
be
participants
in any solicitation of proxies from CF’s stockholders in respect of the proposed transaction with CF. Information
regarding Agrium’s directors and executive officers is available in its management proxy circular dated April 3, 2009
relating to the annual general meeting of its shareholders held on May 13, 2009. Other information regarding potential
participants in such proxy solicitation and a description of their direct and indirect interests, by security holdings or
otherwise, will be contained in any proxy statement filed in connection with the proposed transaction.
All information in this presentation concerning CF, including its business, operations and financial results, was obtained
from
public
sources.
While
Agrium
has
no
knowledge
that
any
such
information
is
inaccurate
or
incomplete,
Agrium
has
not had the opportunity to verify any of that information.


Fundamentals of Growth
3
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain
statements
and
other
information
included
in
this
presentation
constitute
“forward-looking
information”
within
the
meaning
of
applicable
Canadian
securities
legislation
or
constitute
“forward-looking
statements”
(together,
“forward-looking
statements”).
All
statements
in
this
presentation, other than those relating to historical information or current condition, are forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to,
estimates,
forecasts
and
statements
as
to
management’s
expectations
with
respect
to,
among
other
things,
business
and
financial
prospects,
financial multiples and accretion estimates, future trends, plans, strategies, objectives and expectations, including with respect to future
operations following the proposed acquisition of CF. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many
of which are beyond our control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such forward-looking statements.
Events or circumstances that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, include, but are not
limited to, CF’s failure to accept Agrium’s proposal and enter into a definitive agreement to effect the transaction, Agrium common shares
issued
in
connection
with
the
proposed
acquisition
may
have
a
market
value
lower
than
expected,
the
businesses
of
Agrium
and
CF,
or
any
other recent business acquisitions, may not be integrated successfully or such integration may be more difficult, time-consuming or costly than
expected, the expected combination benefits and synergies and costs savings from the Agrium/CF transaction may not be fully realized or not
realized
within
the
expected
time
frame,
the
possible
delay
in
the
completion
of
the
steps
required
to
be
taken
for
the
eventual
combination
of
the two companies, including the possibility that approvals or clearances required to be obtained from regulatory and other agencies and bodies
will not be obtained in a timely manner or will be obtained on conditions that may require divestiture of assets expected to be acquired,
disruption from the proposed transaction making it more difficult to maintain relationships with customers, employees and suppliers, general
business
and
economic
conditions,
interest
rates,
exchange
rates
and
tax
rates,
weather
conditions,
crop
prices,
the
supply,
demand
and
price
level for our major products, gas prices and gas availability, operating rates and production costs, domestic fertilizer consumption and any
changes in government policy in key agriculture markets, including the application of price controls and tariffs on fertilizers and the availability of
subsidies or changes in their amounts, changes in development plans, construction progress, political risks, including civil unrest, actions by
armed
groups
or
conflict,
governmental
and
regulatory
requirements
and
actions
by
governmental
authorities,
including
changes
in
government
policy, changes in environmental, tax and other laws or regulations and the interpretation thereof and other risk factors detailed from time to
time in Agrium and CF’s reports filed with the SEC.
Agrium
disclaims
any
intention
or
obligation
to
update
or
revise
any
forward-looking
statements
in
this
presentation
as
a
result
of
new
information or future events, except as may be required under applicable U.S. federal securities laws or applicable Canadian securities
legislation.
These
forward-looking
statements
are
based
on
certain
assumptions
and
analyses
made
by
us
in
light
of
our
experience
and
perception
of
historical
trends,
current
conditions
and
expected
future
developments
as
well
as
other
factors
we
believe
are
appropriate
in
the
circumstances. Expected future developments are based, in part, upon assumptions respecting our ability to successfully integrate the
businesses of Agrium and CF, or any other recent acquisitions.
All of the forward-looking statements contained herein are qualified by these cautionary statements and by the assumptions that are stated or
inherent in such forward-looking statements. Although we believe these assumptions are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on
these assumptions and such forward-looking statements. The key assumptions that have been made in connection with the forward-looking
statements include, but are not limited to, CF’s acceptance of Agrium’s proposal and the entering into of a definitive agreement to effect the
proposed transaction, closing the proposed transaction, the market value of Agrium common shares issued in connection with the proposed
acquisition, our ability to successfully integrate within expected time frames and costs, and realize the expected combination benefits and
synergies
and
costs
savings
from,
the
combination
of
the
businesses
of
Agrium
and
CF,
or
any
other
recent
business
acquisitions,
and
our
ability to maintain relationships with customers, employees and suppliers during the course of the proposed transaction.


Fundamentals of Growth
4
* 2008 actual results include UAP contributions from date of acquisition (May 5, 2008)
Distribution
& Storage
Growers
Agrium Retail:
$5.5-billion sales*
Advanced
Technologies:
Leader in Specialty
Fertilizers
$350-million sales
Growers
Turf,
Home,
Garden
Agrium
Wholesale:
$4.7-billion sales
Nitrogen, Potash, 
Phosphate & Sulphate
Distribution
& Storage
Industrial
Customers
Retail Customers
Purchase for Resale
Potash expansion
CMF distribution
MOPCO investment
Royster, ConAgra,
ADM retail, and
UAP
Hanfeng, Pursell,
NuGro, ESN
CF Acquisition
Agrium’s Growth Across the Value Chain


Fundamentals of Growth
5
Invested approximately $3.4B in past 5 years and achieved synergies greater 
than announced
Agrium has completed 9 acquisitions in 4 years and other growth initiatives
across the value chain
Strong Record of Growth & Successful
Integration of Acquisitions
(1) 2008 Combined results include full year revenue for AGU and UAP by segment
0
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
18,000
AGU
CF
AGU with
Royster
CF
AGU
CF
AGU with
UAP
CF
AGU with
UAP and
CF
CF
2005
2006
2007
Wholesale
AAT
Retail
2008
Combined
2008
(1)
(1)
Expanded base business


Fundamentals of Growth
6
25%
29%
17%
26%
Retail
Potash
Phosphate
Nitrogen
3%
Advanced
Technologies
2008 EBITDA by Business Unit & Product
2%
PFR and Other
1%


Fundamentals of Growth
7
Largest North American
Agricultural Retailer
UAP acquisition boosts net sales to over $5-billion
Well balanced portfolio of seed, fertilizer, crop protection products, and
application services
$560-million 2008 EBITDA
Over 800 North American retail centers
40%
Crop Nutrients
Crop
Protection
Seed
5%
2008 Agrium Retail Gross Profit*
44%
*Includes UAP contributions from May 2008
Other
Application
3%
8%


Fundamentals of Growth
8
Addition of
approximately 380
locations nearly
doubles Agrium’s
retail business
Increases
geographic
presence in key
U.S. plains area as
well as Texas and
Florida
Further geographic,
crop and product
diversity
Decreases exposure
to regional weather
patterns
Agrium Retail Locations
UAP Retail Locations
States with significant expansion to Agrium’s retail footprint
wheat and potatoes
fruits and
vegetables
corn
soybeans
cotton
wheat
UAP Acquisition Expands Diversity & Scale


Fundamentals of Growth
9
Anticipate annual synergies of approximately
$115-million, phased realization:
~ $80-million in 2009
~ $115-million in 2010 and beyond
Synergies achieved through
Benefit from UAP’s expertise on crop protection procurement
Procurement of crop nutrients and combining seed business
Significantly expand private label crop protection lines at
Agrium
Reduction in SG&A expenses
*Based on expected UAP 2008 calendar year EBITDA
Significant UAP Synergies


Fundamentals of Growth
10
1) Last 12 month EBITDA from UAP as of February 24, 2008 as disclosed in UAP’s public
disclosure documents
2) Compounded Annual Growth Rate was accomplished without an increase in the number of retail
centers between 1999 and 2005
* 2001 excludes negative impact of the Argentine currency devaluation,
* 2002 excludes an estimate of one-time benefit of Argentine currency devaluation
of US$15-million
Retail EBITDA
(US$ millions)
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
1999
2000
2001*
2002*
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Base business
2007
Royster
Synergies
Combined
(1)
UAP
base business
Future expected
UAP synergies
Agrium’s Retail Transformation


Fundamentals of Growth
11
Leader
in
environmentally friendly specialty products, broad
mix
of
products
marketed
to:
Turf,
Ornamental,
Greenhouse,
High Value Specialty Crops, Lawn and Garden
High and stable margins on controlled release products
ESN®
is Agrium’s patented controlled-release product for
major crops, capacity expansion to 160,000 tonnes
Equity position (19.6%) in Hanfeng (HF.TO), a leading
producer of value-added fertilizer in China, provides Agrium
with:
1.
geographic & product diversity
2.
window into China
3.
opportunity to participate in future joint ventures in China
Advanced Technologies


Fundamentals of Growth
12
Wholesale Advantages
Potash (K)
Nitrogen (N)
Phosphate (P)
Purchase for
Resale (PFR)
-
2.1 mmt low cost production capacity
-
Diverse global/NA customer base
-
Over 5.0 mmt production capacity
-
Natural gas and in-market advantages
-
Diversified global production assets
-
Over 1.0 mmt production capacity
-
Two integrated facilities with in-market
and cost advantages
-
Optimizes our extensive distribution
and marketing capabilities
-
CMF acquisition enhances annual
PFR volumes by 2.5 mmt


Fundamentals of Growth
13
Potash Capacity of 2.1 mmt
Market Advantages
Market internationally through Canpotex
Strong margins
Cost Advantages
Low-cost production
Potash Facility
Potash Markets
% Sales*
NA sales                54% 
International       
46%
*3-Year Average Sales Volumes
Internationally Competitive Potash


Fundamentals of Growth
14
Agrium Wholesale Production and
Distribution
Potash
Production
Phosphate Mine
Phosphate
Production
Nitrogen Production
Granulation
Production
Storage
Magellan Pipeline
South America
Africa/Middle East
North America
* Profertil S.A. is 50 percent owned by Agrium Inc. and 50 percent owned by
Repsol YPF, S.A. in Argentina
** 26 percent interest in MISR Oil Processing Company, S.A.E. (MOPCO) in Egypt.
*** 70 percent equity position in Common Market  Fertilizers S.A. (CMF) in Europe.
Damietta
Egypt
(MOPCO)**
Bahia Blanca,
Argentina
(Profertil S.A.) *
San Nicolas
Import Terminal
(Profertil S.A.)*
Agrium
Europe
Common Market Fertilizers S.A.
(CMF)***


Fundamentals of Growth
15
Agrium and CF Production and Distribution
Potash
Production
Phosphate Mine
Phosphate
Production
Nitrogen Production
Granulation
Production
Storage
Magellan Pipeline
Phosphate Mine
Phosphate
Production
Nitrogen Production
Storage
Valero Pipeline
South America
Africa/Middle East
North America
Damietta
Egypt
(MOPCO)**
Bahia Blanca,
Argentina
(Profertil S.A.) *
San Nicolas
Import Terminal
(Profertil S.A.)*
Agrium
CF
Europe
Common Market Fertilizers S.A.
(CMF)***
* Profertil S.A. is 50 percent owned by Agrium Inc. and 50 percent owned by
Repsol YPF, S.A. in Argentina
** 26 percent interest in MISR Oil Processing Company, S.A.E. (MOPCO) in Egypt.
*** 70 percent equity position in Common Market  Fertilizers S.A. (CMF) in Europe.


Fundamentals of Growth
16
Our Offer For CF Industries


Fundamentals of Growth
17
Our Offer for CF
We are determined to acquire CF, creating significant value
for both CF and Agrium stockholders
Our $40 in cash plus one share ($89.22) offer for CF is a 50%
premium to their unaffected stock price, adjusting for net
cash, well above precedent transactions since credit crisis
Cash or stock election provides opportunity to receive 24%
ownership in Agrium’s broader, more balanced portfolio of
products and reinvest significant cash portion
Our bid provides far superior value for CF stockholders
compared with any alternative articulated by CF, including
remaining independent or paying a premium for Terra


Fundamentals of Growth
18
Significant Turnover in CF’s Stockholder
Base by Long-Term Investors
Long-term CF stockholders are sending a clear message to CF about their perspectives
on fundamental value
During Q1 2009, 14 of CF’s top 15 stockholders (excluding Agrium) as at December 31,
2008 reduced their positions significantly
Excluding index funds and hedge funds, CF’s long term stockholders sold 81% of their
holdings in CF
Similar trend apparent for top 25 and top 50 stockholders
GROWMARK
(major
CF
customer,
CEO
sits
on
the
CF
Board)
has
sold
1.5mm
shares
(1)
Selling activity at prices below Agrium’s offer price does not support a standalone value
for CF in the $80’s as CF has suggested
% Change in Position Since Dec 31
(58.0)%
(64.5)%
(81.3)%
-
Excluding Index & Hedge Funds
(55.0)%
(59.1)%
(73.4)%
-
Excluding Index Funds
(44.0)%
(45.0)%
(51.5)%
All Stockholders (Including long-term stockholders,
index and hedge funds, and other stockholders)
Top 50
Stockholders
Top 25
Stockholders
Top 15
Stockholders
Source:  13-F filings per Thomson Financial; available data as of May 29
(1)
Per the Form 144 GROWMARK filed on May 14, 2009.


Fundamentals of Growth
19
Estimated CF Unaffected Stock Price of
Approximately $65.00
(1)
Based on peer group of Mosaic, Potash Corp, Intrepid Potash, Israel Chemicals, K+S, and Yara as
at May 29.
(2)
CF net cash on Balance Sheet as of Dec 31 was $12.38 per fully diluted share.  CF’s net cash on
Balance Sheet as of Mar 31 was $16.64 per fully diluted share.
CF had $12.38 per share in net cash on
hand at December 31, and a further $4.79
invested in working capital versus average
levels
For simplicity our illustrative analysis
assumes the market gave credit for most
of the working capital and could therefore
predict
the
$16.64
of
net
cash
(2)
This cash is worth no more today
than it was in January
The peer group price increase of 59%
since January 15th is representative of an
increase in the market’s perception of the
value of fertilizer operating assets
Gives full credit to peer group
increase, which is partially
attributable to speculation over
sector consolidation
Growing CF’s operating asset value per
share by 59% and adding back net cash
per share results in an implied unaffected
CF stock price of $65.15
CF Unaffected Stock Price
$
30.59
$
48.51
$
16.64
$
16.64
CF Stock Price on Jan 15,
1-Day Prior to Terra Offer
Implied Unaffected CF Stock
Price: Operating Asset Value
Grown at Peer Group Price
Performance
CF Net Cash Per Fully Diluted Share
Implied Operating Asset Value Per Share
$ 47.23
$ 65.15
38 %
59 %
Peer Group
Price Increase
Since Jan 15(1)
Implied Unaffected
CF Stock Price
Performance


Fundamentals of Growth
20
50% Premium to Cash-Adjusted CF
Unaffected Stock Price
(1)
Based on Agrium current proposal of one Agrium share plus $40 per CF share in cash based on
Agrium closing price on May 29.
$
48.51
$
72.58
$
16.64
$
16.64
Unaffected CF Stock Price
Agrium Offer
Implied Operating Asset Value Per Share
CF Net Cash Per Fully Diluted Share
$ 65.15
50 %
Implied Cash-
Adjusted
Premium Today
37 %
Implied Stock
Price Premium
$ 89.22
1


Fundamentals of Growth
21
6.1x
vs.
4.8x
2010E
EBITDA
(1)
using
CF’s unaffected share price adjusted to
exclude the effects of Agrium’s offer
Agrium's revised offer implies a higher
transaction multiple for CF than
Agrium’s
current
trading
multiple
(1)
Valuation should be considered in context of expected performance
Trailing EBITDA multiples irrelevant given short-lived spike in commodity prices in 2008
Precedent transactions need to be analyzed in context of the market environment
Agrium / CF vs. CF / Terra
Agrium / CF
Compelling Valuation
CF / Terra
Agrium’s revised offer provides a 27% greater EBITDA multiple for CF than CF
is offering for Terra
(1)
6.1x
4.8x
$89.22
$29.57
Current Offer
Current Unaffected Offer
(2)
(3)
(1)
Bloomberg consensus 2010 EBITDA estimates; Agrium’s EV/EBITDA multiple is 4.8x. Multiples
calculated on an adjusted ‘owned’ basis to reflect leakage of minority interest and addition of
equity investment income.
(2)  $40.00 cash, one Agrium share using Agrium’s closing price on May 29. 
(3)  CF unaffected price based on illustrative peer group of Mosaic, Potash Corp, Intrepid Potash,
Israel Chemicals, K+S, and Yara. Peer group performance based on USD equivalent stock price
movement since Jan 15. This percentage move was applied to CF’s operating asset value per
share on Jan 15. Results then adjusted back for net cash.


Fundamentals of Growth
22
Conclusion
We are determined to acquire CF
We have raised our offer twice, to a current cash-adjusted
premium of 50%
Our bid provides far superior value for CF stockholders
compared with any alternative articulated by CF
Current offer is best and final price absent engagement
by CF and demonstration of additional value
CF stockholders must send an unambiguous message to
CF Board by tendering their shares into our offer


Fundamentals of Growth
The Future is
Promising


Fundamentals of Growth
24
76% Agrium and 24% CF
Pro Forma Ownership:
$40.00
in cash and 1
Agrium share (total consideration of $89.22 as at May 29)
Aggregate consideration of $2.0
billion cash and 50.2
million shares
CF stockholders may elect mixed consideration, or cash or shares, subject to
proration
Consideration:
Committed debt facilities from Royal Bank of Canada and The Bank
of Nova
Scotia
Financing:
Negotiation of definitive merger agreement
CF offer for Terra terminated
Receipt of regulatory and other customary approvals
Absence of any material adverse changes to CF or its business
Our ability to conduct limited confirmatory due diligence
Key Conditions:
61% to CF closing price on February 24 and 50% to cash-adjusted premium to
CF’s unaffected stock price
(1)
(based on mixed consideration and $49.22
Agrium share price on May 29)
An increase of $17.22 or 24% over Agrium’s initial offer of $72.00
Premium:
Agrium to combine with CF in a cash and stock deal
Offer:
Summary of Revised Offer for CF
(1)
See previous slides for methodology used for estimating CF’s unaffected stock price.


Fundamentals of Growth
25
Creates a Global Nitrogen Leader
6.7
6.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
3.0
2.3
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
Yara
Combined
Agrium/CF
PCS
Terra
Agrium
CF
Koch
Global Nitrogen Nutrient Capacity
Source: British Sulphur and IFDC


Fundamentals of Growth
26
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
W. Canada
NOLA (US Gulf)
Ukraine
W. Europe
Natural Gas
Other Cash Costs
Freight to Port
Ocean Freight
Attractive Economics for
North American Producers
Source: Fertecon, British Sulphur, Agrium
Lower gas prices in NA and higher prices elsewhere, combined with firm
nitrogen demand, result in strong NA nitrogen margins
NOLA Granular Price = $265/MT
$7/
MMBtu*
$6 / 
MMBtu
$4/
MMBtu
$3/
MMBtu
* There have been press reports that Ukraine gas price may be reduced by 20% in the future, which would
put their gas costs slightly below W. Europe but delivered cost of product would remain over $200/mt


Fundamentals of Growth
27
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
May-
05
Sep-
05
Jan-
06
May-
06
Sep-
06
Jan-
07
May-
07
Sep-
07
Jan-
08
May-
08
Sep-
08
Jan-
09
May-
09
Black Sea
NOLA
Pacific Northwest
Benchmark Prices: Urea
Source: Blue, Johnson & Associates, The Market, Green Markets


Fundamentals of Growth
28
Phosphate Advantages
4,307
2,370
1,673
953
775
720
376
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Mosaic
PCS
Combined
Agrium/CF
CF
J.R. Simplot
Co.
Agrium
Mississippi
Phos Corp.
North American Phosphate Nutrient Capacity
Source: IFDC Worldwide Phosphoric Acid Capacity Listing by Plant, June 2008


Fundamentals of Growth
29
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
May-
05
Sep-
05
Jan-
06
May-
06
Sep-
06
Jan-
07
May-
07
Sep-
07
Jan-
08
May-
08
Sep-
08
Jan-
09
May-
09
Central Florida
PNW
Benchmark Prices: Phosphate
Source: Blue, Johnson & Associates, Green Markets


Fundamentals of Growth
30
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
May-
05
Sep-
05
Jan-
06
May-
06
Sep-
06
Jan-
07
May-
07
Sep-
07
Jan-
08
May-
08
Sep-
08
Jan-
09
May-
09
Sask
Midwest
Benchmark Prices: Potash
Source: Green Markets, Blue, Johnson & Associates, Agrium


Fundamentals of Growth
31
(1)
Based on value of mixed consideration and Agrium share price of $49.22 as of May 29.
(2)
Based on CF cash and short-term investments of $839 million less debt of $3.9 million, or
$16.64 per CF share as of Mar 31, 2009.
(3)
CF unaffected price based on illustrative peer group of Mosaic, Potash Corp, Intrepid
Potash, Israel Chemicals, K+S, and Yara. Peer group performance based on USD
equivalent stock price movement since Jan 15. This percentage move was applied to CF’s
operating
asset
value
per
share
on
Jan
15.
Results
then
adjusted
back
for
net
cash.
Premiums
(1)
$89.22 
Current
offer
Cash Adjusted Premiums
(1,2)
(3)
(3)
$72.58
($89.22, less
$16.64 net
cash per CF
share)
Significant Premium to CF Stockholders
50%
86%
137%
37%
61%
89%
$47.23
$55.58
$65.15
Jan-15 CF Price
Feb-24 CF Price
Unaffected Price
$30.59
$38.94
$48.51
Jan-15 CF Price
Feb-24 CF Price
Unaffected Price


Fundamentals of Growth
32
0
300
600
900
1200
1500
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
$1,400
CF 'Owned' EBITDA
Urea ($ / short ton)
DAP ($ / short ton)
Natural Gas (US¢/MMBtu)
(5)
CF’s reliance on short-lived peak 2008 nitrogen and phosphate prices for
current and future valuations is unrealistic and irrelevant
Current nitrogen and phosphate prices are NOT at the bottom of the cycle
Industry forecasts show nutrient pricing flat-to-down over next couple years
A return to cyclical commodity lows as seen pre-2004 would yield substantially lower
EBITDA for CF
Current Nutrient Pricing Above
Historical Averages
(1)
Average 1998-2007.
(2)
NOLA Urea per Green Markets.
(3)
Central Florida DAP per Green Markets.
(4)
Henry Hub Natural Gas per Bloomberg.
(5)
‘Owned’
EBITDA (consolidated EBITDA less minority interest plus equity investment income) per
CF filings.
10yr
Average
(1)
Feb 24
Current
Urea
(2)
$181
$305
$240
DAP
(3)
$193
$315
$250
Natural Gas
(4)
¢498
¢420
¢392


Fundamentals of Growth
33
Expected
operating
margins
for
nitrogen
and
phosphate
facilities
similar
to
CF’s are lower than peak 2008 levels
Moderate Margins Anticipated for CF’s
Facilities
Illustrative
Annual
Operating
Profit
(1,2)
(1)
Nitrogen gross margin estimates based on NOLA Urea proxy plant gate margins (at 80% rate),
per Blue, Johnson Associates, Inc.
(2)
Phosphate gross margin estimates based on U.S. Central Florida DAP proxy plant gate margins
(at 80% rate), per Blue, Johnson Associates, Inc.
-$100
$100
$300
$500
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Proxy Phosphate Plant
Proxy Nitrogen Plant
’00-07 Avg.
2008
Current
Nitrogen
(1)
$25
$242
$104
Phosphate
(2)
$49
$511
$140


Fundamentals of Growth
34
Agrium Proposal at a Significant
Premium to Historical CF Trading Values
35
45
55
65
75
85
$95
Jan 15
Jan 25
Feb 4
Feb 14
Feb 24
Mar 6
Mar 16
Mar 26
Apr 5
Apr 15
Apr 25
May 5
May 15
May 25
Feb 25
Agrium announces
acquisition proposal for CF
($31.70 + 1 share)
with election mechanic
Jan 15
CF announces acquisition
proposal for Terra
CF distances from peer group because of Agrium offer
Mar 27
Agrium increases proposal
for CF
($35.00 + 1 share)
with election mechanic
May 11
Agrium increases proposal for CF
($40.00 + 1 share)
with election mechanic
Current
Proposal(1):
$89.22
CF: $77.64,
64%
Global
Fertilizer
Peers(2): 59%
Mar 23
CF modifies proposal for Terra
Mar 9
CF modifies proposal for Terra
Mar 5
Terra board rejects CF offer
May 15
CF rejects Agrium's
revised offer
Source: Bloomberg. Daily trading values have been rebased to CF stock price on Jan 15, 2009 (date of CF proposal for Terra)
(1) Dotted line represents Agrium current proposal for CF over time: one Agrium share plus $40 cash per CF share based on Agrium historical closing prices.
(2) Based on illustrative peer group of Mosaic, Potash Corp, Intrepid Potash, Israel Chemicals, K+S,
and Yara. Performance of this peer group based on USD equivalent stock price movement since
Jan 15. Market trading data as of May 29.


Fundamentals of Growth
35
Anticipate annual synergies of approximately $150 million from
Agrium/CF combination, phased in over three years
Consolidation of the sales, marketing and distribution systems by
utilizing Agrium’s and CF’s combined broad distribution network to reduce
logistic costs
reduce total product miles shipped and optimize railcar lease costs
leverage underutilized distribution facilities
Sales, Marketing
and Distribution
Description
Source
Realization of cost savings associated with
enhanced economies of scale in purchase/procurement of products and
services
optimization of plant turnarounds and operating costs
reduction of duplication in product inventory and associated carrying costs
catalyst and spare parts inventory pooling
enhanced efficiencies in future capital expenditures
Procurement of
Plant Materials,
Equipment and
Logistics Services
Eliminating corporate functions and overhead reductions (e.g. headquarter
consolidation) and utilizing SG&A excess capacity
SG&A Costs
Significant Synergies from
Combination of Agrium and CF