425

Filed by Agrium Inc.

(Commission File No. 333-157966)

Pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act of 1933

and deemed filed pursuant to Rule 14a-12 of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Subject Company:

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

 

LOGO

 

  

NEWS RELEASE

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Agrium reports fourth quarter results; well positioned for 2010

February 9, 2010 - ALL AMOUNTS ARE STATED IN U.S.$

CALGARY, Alberta — Agrium Inc. (TSX and NYSE: AGU) announced today net earnings of $30-million ($0.19 diluted earnings per share) for the fourth quarter of 2009, compared with the net earnings of $124-million in the fourth quarter of 2008 ($0.79 diluted earnings per share). On an annual basis, 2009 net earnings were $366-million ($2.33 diluted earnings per share) as compared to net earnings of $1.3-billion ($8.34 diluted earnings per share) in 2008.

The 2009 fourth quarter results included losses of $35-million ($0.17 diluted earnings per share) on gas and other hedge positions and a $34-million expense ($0.17 diluted earnings per share) in stock-based compensation. Net earnings calculated on the same basis as our fourth quarter guidance would have been $84-million ($0.53 diluted earnings per share) for the fourth quarter of 2009, compared to our guidance range for the quarter of $0.14 to $0.44 diluted earnings per share. 1

“The fourth quarter of 2009 saw the initial stages of recovery in the crop input sector. We have seen increasing demand for domestic potash and a tight supply situation for nitrogen and phosphate products. Wholesale sales volumes were substantially higher this quarter across all products than the fourth quarter of last year, despite the shortened fall application season.” said Mike Wilson, Agrium President and CEO.

“We are seeing increasing signs that demand for crop nutrients and other crop inputs will be strong in the coming spring, despite some recent weakening in crop prices following the revised yield estimates from the USDA. Agrium is looking forward to a significant recovery in the crop input markets in 2010.”

KEY RESULTS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Cash flow from operating activities for the fourth quarter of 2009 contributed $904-million, compared to $671-million in the prior year. Furthermore, our net-debt to net-debt plus equity continued to decline in the fourth quarter, reaching 16 percent compared to 26 percent at the end of the third quarter of 2009. A $25-million tax recovery in the fourth quarter of 2009 was primarily due to the higher than expected proportion of income earned in lower taxed jurisdictions and a loss incurred in a higher taxed (U.S.) jurisdiction.

Agrium acquired 57 farm centers in the United States and Canada over the past several months. The combined annual sales for these acquisitions, including a limited number of independent U.S. outlets obtained earlier in 2009, is projected at approximately $350-million and the combined purchase price was approximately $100-million, including working capital.

 

 

1

2009 annual effective tax rate used for adjusted diluted earnings per share calculations.


Wholesale sales volumes increased significantly in the fourth quarter of 2009 compared to 2008, as both grower and retailer demand rebounded from last year, even with the shortened application window this fall. Wholesale sales volumes in the fourth quarter of 2009 were 35 percent, 69 percent, and 25 percent higher than the same period last year for nitrogen, phosphate, and potash, respectively.

In December 2009, Agrium announced that Egyptian Nitrogen Products Company S.A.E. (“ENPC”), a wholly owned subsidiary of MISR Fertilizer Production Company S.A.E. (“MOPCO”), had secured $1.05-billion of non-recourse project financing from a syndicate of Egyptian and regional banks. This will allow ENPC to proceed with tripling of the existing MOPCO nitrogen facility in Damietta, Egypt by 2012 1, bringing Agrium’s 26 percent equity interest in production from 176,000 tonnes to 546,000 tonnes of production. Under the financing plan, Agrium will not be required to put any further equity into the project. Agrium reported equity earnings of $6-million for its interest in MOPCO in the fourth quarter of 2009, bringing total equity earnings for 2009 to $20-million.

Agrium continues to be fully committed to acquiring CF Industries, Inc. (“CF”), and intends to continue to press the board of directors of CF to engage in negotiations with Agrium to execute a mutually beneficial merger agreement for our respective shareholders. On January 14, 2010, Agrium notified CF that Agrium will nominate two independent and highly qualified directors for election to CF’s board of directors at CF’s 2010 annual meeting of stockholders.

2009 Fourth Quarter Operating Results

NET EARNINGS

Agrium’s fourth quarter consolidated net earnings were $30-million, or $0.19 diluted earnings per share, compared with net earnings of $124-million, or $0.79 diluted earnings per share, for the same quarter of 2008. Net earnings before interest expense and income taxes (“EBIT”) were $31-million for the fourth quarter of 2009 compared with EBIT of $172-million for the fourth quarter of 2008. A reconciliation of EBIT to net earnings is provided in the section “Non-GAAP Measures”. Consolidated gross profit in the fourth quarter of 2009 was $383-million, a $139-million decrease compared with the fourth quarter of 2008. The decreases in quarter-over-quarter gross profit and EBIT were primarily driven by lower selling prices for our products, partially offset by an increase in sales volumes and lower cost of production. For discussion on the performance of each business unit, see section “Business Segment Performance”.

Expenses were $47-million lower in the fourth quarter of 2009 compared with the same period last year largely due to a combination of the following items:

 

   

an $87-million write-down in our EAgrium investment in the fourth quarter of 2008 (net to Agrium of $45-million after elimination of non-controlling interests);

 

   

a $41-million reduction in potash profit taxes; and,

 

   

a $22-million reduction in selling expenses.

 

 

1

See disclosure in the section “Outlook, Key Risks and Uncertainties” in this press release.

 

2


These favorable changes were partially offset by a $95-million change in other expenses as outlined in the table below:

Below is summary of our other expense (income) for the fourth quarter of 2009 and 2008:

 

Three months ended December 31,

   2009     2008  

Stock-based compensation

   34      (35

Loss on derivative financial instruments

   35      87   

Interest income

   (11   (11

Foreign exchange (gain) loss

   —        (98

Other

   (2   18   
            
   56      (39
            

The tax recovery in the fourth quarter of 2009 was primarily due to the higher than expected proportion of income earned in lower taxed jurisdictions and a loss incurred in higher taxed (U.S.) jurisdiction. The effective tax rate was 22 percent for 2009, compared with 31 percent for 2008. The lower annual tax rate was due to a higher proportion of income earned in lower taxed jurisdictions in 2009, partially offset by Canadian income tax on the foreign exchange gains related to our U.S. dollar-denominated debt.

BUSINESS SEGMENT PERFORMANCE

Retail

Retail’s 2009 fourth quarter net sales were $738-million, compared to $1.0-billion in the fourth quarter of 2008. Gross profit was $189-million in the fourth quarter of 2009, compared to $228-million for the same period last year. Retail EBIT was a loss of $57-million in the fourth quarter of 2009, versus a loss of $54-million in the fourth quarter of 2008. 1

Crop nutrient net sales were $431-million this quarter compared to $631-million in the same quarter last year. Lower crop nutrient prices for the primary nutrients more than offset an increase in sales volumes this quarter compared to the same period last year. While crop nutrient sales volumes were above last year’s levels, they were still 20 percent below expected volumes due to the shortened fall application season. Gross profit for crop nutrients was $46-million this quarter compared to the fourth quarter results of $60-million achieved in 2008. This quarter over quarter variance in gross profit also reflects a $93-million write-down in nutrient inventory valuation in the fourth quarter of 2008. Crop nutrient margins averaged 11 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, slightly higher than the third quarter of 2009 and slightly higher than the fourth quarter of 2008 including the write-down. The reduction in gross profit compared to last year was due to the decline in overall crop nutrient prices, both from the fourth quarter of 2008 and during 2009, therefore reducing the realizable margin, while the shortened fall application season limited the typically higher margin, full-service ammonia market. We anticipate crop nutrient margins to improve significantly in 2010 as demand is expected to be strong and inventory costs are below current replacement costs.2 Sales volumes at our South American operations were also higher this quarter when compared to the same period last year as rain has returned to the region, ending the worst drought in approximately 100 years. Gross profit from our South American retail operations was $10-million this quarter, compared to $7-million last year which included an $8-million write-down in inventory in the fourth quarter of 2008.

 

 

1

In the second quarter of 2009, a forward-looking statement indicated that 2009 Retail EBITDA was expected to be approximately $400-million, the realized EBITDA was $266-million with the reduction primarily related to lower than expected crop nutrient margins and sales volumes in the fall season.

2

See disclosure in the section “Outlook, Key Risks and Uncertainties” in this press release.

 

3


Crop protection net sales were $234-million in the fourth quarter of 2009, a 19 percent decrease from the $288-million in sales for the same period last year. This was mainly due to lower sales prices for glyphosate, which was partially offset by an 83 percent increase in glyphosate volumes this quarter compared to the same period last year. Gross profit this quarter was $98-million, a decrease of $35-million over last year’s $133-million, due primarily to timing differences in the recognition of volume rebates. On an annual basis, 2009 rebates exceeded 2008. Crop protection product margins as a percentage of net sales were 42 percent for the fourth quarter of 2009, as compared to 46 percent in the same period last year.

Net sales for seed, services and other decreased by 29 percent to $73-million this quarter, from $103-million in the fourth quarter of 2008. Gross profit was $45-million in the fourth quarter of 2009, compared to $35-million for the same period last year. Seed sales were $16-million in the fourth quarter of 2009, a decrease of 65 percent over the same period last year due primarily to less wheat acres being planted.

Gross profit from seed sales was $16-million this quarter compared to $7-million in the fourth quarter of 2008, due to timing of seed rebates recognition this year. Application services revenues were $32-million and gross profit was $24-million this quarter, both marginally higher than results from the same period last year. The relative strength in earnings from this product line in a difficult agricultural environment illustrates the benefits of the diversity in our Retail business.

Retail selling expenses for the fourth quarter of 2009 were $211-million, a 13 percent decline over last year’s level, primarily due to reduced fuel and maintenance costs and to lower salaries and performance incentives earned. Selling expenses as a percentage of net sales in the fourth quarter of 2009 was 29 percent, up significantly from the 24 percent in the same period last year. The 51 percent decrease in nutrient unit prices compared to the prior period was the primary contributor to the higher expense as a percent of sales.

Wholesale

Wholesale’s net sales were $716-million for the fourth quarter of 2009 compared to $982-million for the fourth quarter of 2008. Gross profit was $180-million in the fourth quarter of 2009, compared with the $283-million in the fourth quarter for 2008, due primarily to lower average sales prices across all three nutrients. The resulting reduction in quarter over quarter selling prices more than offset a 44 percent increase in sales volumes in the fourth quarter of 2009 when compared to the same period last year. The key factor driving the higher volumes during the quarter was a return to stronger demand from North American customers for all three nutrients, despite the shortened application season this fall. Cost of product sold for the fourth quarter of 2009 was $237 per tonne, $209 per tonne lower than the same quarter in 2008 due primarily to lower natural gas costs on nitrogen and $121-million of inventory write-downs in the fourth quarter of 2008. EBIT of $140-million in the fourth quarter of 2009 was $34-million higher than the fourth quarter of 2008 due primarily to lower potash profit taxes and derivative losses. Prior year EBIT was also impacted by a $45-million impairment, after non-controlling interest, of our former investment in EAgrium.

Nitrogen gross profit was $95-million this quarter, compared to $136-million in the same quarter last year. Benchmark prices and Agrium’s realized prices were lower than last year across all nitrogen products. Domestic and international ammonia and urea volumes were up significantly in the fourth quarter of 2009 compared to the same period last year. Nitrogen cost of product sold was $214 per tonne this quarter, significantly lower than the $317 per tonne in the fourth quarter of 2008. The lower production cost was primarily a result of lower North American gas prices. Agrium’s nitrogen margins averaged $102 per tonne this quarter, compared with $197 per tonne in the fourth quarter of last year.

 

4


Agrium’s overall natural gas cost was $4.82/MMBtu (including gas hedging) in the fourth quarter of 2009 versus $7.41/MMBtu in the fourth quarter of 2008. The U.S. benchmark (NYMEX) natural gas price for the fourth quarter of 2009 was $4.27/MMBtu, versus $6.82/MMBtu in the same quarter last year and $3.41/MMBtu in the third quarter of 2009. The AECO (Alberta) basis narrowed to $0.28/MMBtu in the fourth quarter of 2009, compared to $0.98/MMBtu in same period of 2008.

Potash gross profit was $74-million ($210 per tonne) in the fourth quarter of 2009 versus $159-million ($562 per tonne) in the fourth quarter of 2008. The average realized sales price was $382 per tonne this quarter, down from $678 per tonne for the same period last year. Sales volumes were 353,000 tonnes, an increase of 25 percent from the same period last year. Domestic demand was up 81 percent compared to the same period last year; while international sales remained significantly lower than the fourth quarter of 2008 due to continued uncertainty in international markets given the negotiations for a new supply contract with China were not complete. Cost of product sold on a per tonne basis was $172 per tonne or $56 per tonne higher than for the same quarter last year, partly due to the stronger Canadian dollar and lower operating rates at our Vanscoy facility.

Phosphate gross profit was $1-million this quarter, compared to $86-million in the same quarter last year. Realized sales prices averaged $392 per tonne, down $725 per tonne when compared to the record $1,117 per tonne price achieved in the same quarter last year. Sales volume this quarter was 232,000 tonnes, representing a 69 percent increase as compared to the same quarter in 2008. Phosphate cost of product sold was $388 per tonne or $101 per tonne lower than the fourth quarter of 2008, primarily due to lower ammonia and sulphur costs. The phosphate market experienced improvement in benchmark prices in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter in 2009. When compared to the third quarter of this year, average realized sales prices for the fourth quarter of 2009 were $24 per tonne higher and benchmark prices have continued to climb into 2010.

Gross profit for the Purchase for Resale business in the fourth quarter of 2009 was $2-million versus a loss of $108-million for the same period last year. The majority of the variance was due to an inventory write-down of $121-million taken in the fourth quarter of 2008.

Wholesale expenses were $137-million lower in the fourth quarter of 2009 than the same period last year. This was primarily due to a $45-million impairment (after non-controlling interest) booked in the fourth quarter of 2008 of our former investment in EAgrium and a $51-million reduction in hedging losses on our natural gas, power and foreign exchange derivatives. The remainder of reduction in expenses was due to lower potash profit taxes in the fourth quarter of 2009 primarily as a result of lower quarter-over-quarter margins.

Advanced Technologies

Advanced Technologies’ fourth quarter 2009 net sales were $95-million compared to $76-million in the fourth quarter of 2008. The increase was primarily attributed to the inclusion of the new turf and ornamental business that was transferred from Retail to Advanced Technologies in 2009. Although ESN sales volumes were up 88 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009 compared to the same period in 2008, net sales were impacted by lower average realized sales prices in ESN and other controlled release products versus the fourth quarter of 2008, as a result of a decline in the price of urea.

Gross profit for Advanced Technologies was $16-million for the quarter, compared with $17-million for the same period last year. EBITDA was $8-million lower this quarter versus the comparable period in 2008 due to lower average realized sales prices and margins for products sold and higher selling, general and administrative costs. Selling, general and administrative costs for Advanced Technologies were $10-million higher in the fourth quarter of 2009 than the same period last year due primarily to the relocation of the segment’s corporate offices to Loveland, Colorado and the inclusion of costs related to the new turf and ornamental operations transferred from Retail.

 

5


Other

EBIT for our other non-operating business unit for the fourth quarter of 2009 was a loss of $46-million, a decrease of $160-million compared with earnings of $114-million for the fourth quarter of 2008. The decrease reflected the absence of foreign exchange gains which occurred in the fourth quarter of 2008, and an increase in stock-based compensation expense driven by an increase in our share price in the fourth quarter of 2009 compared with a decrease in the comparative period of 2008.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Cash provided by operating activities was $904-million in the fourth quarter of 2009, compared with $671-million in the same period of 2008. This $233-million increase in cash provided by operating activities was due to:

 

   

a $69-million increase in non-cash stock-based compensation expense; and,

 

   

a $610-million increase in non-cash working capital.

The increase in non-cash working capital is primarily driven by the increase in accounts payable and accrued liabilities partially offset by the change in accounts receivable.

The favorable cash inflow provided by operating activities were partially offset by:

 

   

a $94-million decrease in net earnings;

 

   

lower non-cash inventory and purchase commitment write-downs, and,

 

   

a $180-million non-cash decrease in the net future income tax liabilities.

Cash used in investing activities increased by $48-million due to higher capital expenditures in the fourth quarter of 2009. Capital expenditures for 2009 were $313-million compared with our forecast previously disclosed in our third quarter MD&A1, as we chose to defer several projects and initiatives into 2010 to conserve cash while we have an outstanding offer for CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

Cash used in financing activities was $24-million in the fourth quarter of 2009 compared with $381-million in the same period of 2008. The change reflected the pay-down of our bank indebtedness and long-term debt, and funds used for shares repurchased in the fourth quarter of 2008.

 

Short-term credit facilities available at December 31, 2009 a)

   Total    Unutilized    Utilized

(millions of U.S. dollars)

        

North American revolving credit facilities expiring 2010 and 2012b)

   835    835    —  

European credit facilities expiring in 2010c)d)

   450    376    74

South American credit facilities expiring 2010 to 2012

   121    89    32
              
   1,406    1,300    106
              

 

a) As of December 31, 2009, a total of $200-million was available from our accounts receivable securitization facility. For further information, see discussion under the section “Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements” on page 75 of our 2008 Annual Report.
b) Outstanding letters of credit issued under the Company’s revolving credit facilities at December 31, 2009 were $74-million, reducing credit available under the facilities to $761-million.
c) Of the total, $137-million is secured. Security pledged for the utilized balance includes inventory, accounts receivable and other items with a total carrying value of $87-million. The utilized balance includes Euro-denominated debt of $31-million.
d) In December 2009, the Company entered into a multi-currency revolving facility for Euro-denominated debt of $172-million to replace $160-million of existing credit facilities. The facility expires in 2011.

 

1

In the third quarter of 2009, a forward-looking statement indicated that we expected our total capital expenditures for 2009 to be in excess of 10 percent lower than the $450-million previously disclosed in our 2008 annual MD&A.

 

6


OUTSTANDING SHARE DATA

The number of outstanding shares as at December 31, 2009 was 157 million. As at December 31, 2009, there were approximately 0.9 million stock options outstanding and issuable assuming full conversion, where each option granted can be exercised for one common share.

SELECTED QUARTERLY INFORMATION

(Unaudited, in millions of U.S. dollars, except per share information)

 

     2009     2008    2007
     Q4    Q3    Q2    Q1     Q4    Q3    Q2    Q1    Q4

Net sales

   $ 1,442    1,844    4,090    1,753      1,941    3,113    3,870    1,107    1,426

Gross profit

     383    397    890    273      522    1,048    1,261    392    533

Net earnings (loss)

     30    26    370    (60   124    367    636    195    172

Earnings (loss) per share

                         

-basic

   $ 0.19    0.16    2.36    (0.38   0.79    2.32    4.03    1.24    1.25

-diluted

   $ 0.19    0.16    2.35    (0.38   0.79    2.31    4.00    1.23    1.24

The agricultural products business is seasonal in nature. Consequently, quarter-to-quarter results are not directly comparable. Sales are concentrated in the spring and fall planting seasons, while produced inventories are accumulated throughout the year. Cash collections generally occur after the planting seasons in North and South America.

NON-GAAP MEASURES

In the discussion of our performance for the quarter, in addition to the primary measures of earnings and earnings per share, we make reference to EBIT (net earnings before interest expense and income taxes) and EBITDA (net earnings before interest expense, income taxes, depreciation, amortization and asset impairment). We consider EBIT and EBITDA to be useful measures of performance because income tax jurisdictions and business segments are not synonymous and we believe that allocation of income tax charges distorts the comparability of historical performance for the different business segments. Similarly, financing and related interest charges cannot be allocated to all business units on a basis that is meaningful for comparison with other companies.

EBIT and EBITDA are not recognized measures under GAAP, and our methods of calculation may not be comparable to other companies. Similarly, EBITDA should not be used as an alternative to cash provided by (used in) operating activities as determined in accordance with GAAP.

 

7


The following is a reconciliation of EBITDA and EBIT to net earnings as calculated in accordance with GAAP:

 

(millions of U.S. dollars)

   Three Months Ended December 31  
   2009     2008  
   Retail     Wholesale    Advanced
Technologies
    Other     Consolidated     Retail     Wholesale    Advanced
Technologies
   Other    Consolidated  

EBITDA

   (30 )    169            (44 )    95      (32   214    8    116    306   

Depreciation and amortization

   27      29    6      2      64      22      21    2    2    47   

Asset impairment

   —        —      —        —        —        —        87    —      —      87   
                                                        

EBIT

   (57 )    140    (6 )    (46 )    31      (54   106    6    114    172   
                                                        

Interest expense

            (26 )               (35

Income taxes

            25                 (13
                                

Net earnings

            30                 124   
                                

OUTLOOK, KEY RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES

Grain and oilseed prices increased through the fourth quarter of 2009, driven by the latest U.S. corn harvest on record, positive global economic momentum and weakness in the U.S. dollar. Grain and oilseed futures prices declined somewhat in early January in response to higher than expected U.S. corn yield and production estimates released by the USDA. Despite historically strong production, record global demand for grains and oilseeds and overall improvement in the global economy has maintained grain and oilseed prices above historical averages.

This strength in grain and oilseed prices has continued to support crop input expenditures. Looking to 2010, we see continued improvement in the seed market due to the trend in adoption of new seed varieties, and a stronger crop protection market compared to last year due to increased usage of glyphosates, crop health products and increased weed resistance resulting in expanded use of alternative crop protection products.

North American demand was hampered in the fall application season due to a delayed U.S. harvest, which analysts anticipate will lead to greater demand for all three nutrients in the first half of 2010. In addition, record corn yields in the U.S. in the 2009 growing season means a large draw on soil reserves, which will need to be replenished in the upcoming year.

Between the start and end of the fourth quarter, benchmark U.S. Gulf urea prices increased 20 percent. U.S. demand began to show strength in December, after a delayed harvest. Most analysts expect U.S. nitrogen demand to continue to be strong in the first half of 2010 due to a combination of a slow fall season and forecasts of increased corn area. The Fertilizer Institute (TFI) reported that December 2009 urea inventories in North America were 42 percent below December 2008 levels and 9 percent below the five-year average. An additional factor supporting the nitrogen market is anticipated increases in the formula-based natural gas prices paid by Ukrainian nitrogen producers. Currently, Ukrainian nitrogen producers are paying a significantly lower price than the prevailing formula price at the Russia/Ukraine border but this is expected to change after the first quarter of 2010.

 

8


Phosphate fundamentals improved significantly in the second half of 2009, but the market was slow to react to a tighter supply and demand balance which contributed to increased volatility in the last month of the year. Phosphate prices increased by over 30 percent between mid-November and the end of December, as the market was ignited by Chinese import purchases, which was followed by improved demand from many destinations. Going forward, the supply situation appears tight heading into the spring. U.S. December DAP and MAP inventories were reported by TFI to be 38 percent below five-year average levels and 60 percent below December 2008. Phosphate production is also running at a significantly higher rate on a global scale, resulting in increased demand and pricing for raw materials such as sulphur and ammonia. Non-integrated producer costs have increased as a result of higher input costs, including higher phosphate rock and phosphoric acid costs. Going forward, analysts expect India and Latin America to import more phosphate in 2010 versus 2009.

Demand in the potash market showed significant signs of recovery at the beginning of 2010. Analysts report that there is considerable pent-up demand in the potash market as importers have been waiting for a Chinese potash contract to be agreed upon. North American purchases for spring applications increased in late December, and demand continued early in 2010. In addition, Brazilian potash inventories are reportedly tight and import demand is expected to rebound. India imported large volumes of potash in late 2009 but there is uncertainty on the timing of new 2010 purchases due to changes in global potash prices. In addition, the timing and impact of changes in Indian fertilizer subsidies to a proposed Nutrient Based Subsidy is an uncertainty in the potash and phosphate markets.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in this press release constitute forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, including those referred to in the MD&A section of the Corporation’s most recent annual report to shareholders, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Corporation to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, CF’s failure to accept Agrium’s proposal and enter into a definitive agreement to effect the transaction, timing and final terms of completion of the proposed CF acquisition, Agrium common shares issued in connection with the proposed acquisition may have a market value lower than expected, the businesses of Agrium and CF, or any other recent business acquisitions, may not be integrated successfully or such integration may be more difficult, time-consuming or costly than expected, the expected combination benefits and synergies and costs savings from the Agrium/CF transaction may not be fully realized or not realized within the expected time frame, the possible delay in the completion of the steps required to be taken for the eventual combination of the two companies, weather conditions, crop prices, the future supply, demand, price and cost level for our major products, capital costs being significantly different than projected, including costs associated with major projects, future gas prices and gas availability in key markets, future operating rates and production costs at Agrium’s facilities, the exchange and tax rates for U.S., Canada and Argentina and any changes in government policy in key agriculture markets, including the application of price controls and tariffs on fertilizers and the availability of subsidies or changes in their amounts, the ongoing global financial conditions and changes in credit markets; failure of the Egyptian government to issue all necessary approvals to complete the MOPCO expansion as planned and any potential delay in completing planned expansion projects, Egyptian and Argentinean governmental and regulatory requirements and actions by governmental authorities, including changes in government policy, changes in environmental, tax and other laws or regulations and the interpretation thereof and other risk factors detailed from time to time in Agrium and CF’s reports filed with the SEC. Except as required by law, Agrium disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information as a result of new information or future events.

Important Information

This press release does not constitute an offer to exchange, or a solicitation of an offer to exchange, common stock of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (“CF”), nor is it a substitute for the Tender Offer Statement on Schedule TO or the Prospectus/Offer to Exchange included in the Registration Statement on Form F-4 (including the Letter of Transmittal and related documents) (collectively, as amended from time to time, the “Exchange Offer Documents”) filed by Agrium Inc. (“Agrium”) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) on March 16, 2009, as amended. The Registration Statement on Form F-4 has not yet become effective. The offer to exchange is made only through the Exchange Offer Documents. INVESTORS AND SECURITY HOLDERS OF AGRIUM AND CF ARE URGED TO READ THE EXCHANGE OFFER DOCUMENTS AND OTHER RELEVANT MATERIALS FILED WITH THE SEC CAREFULLY IN THEIR ENTIRETY AS THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT

 

9


INFORMATION ABOUT THE OFFER TO EXCHANGE. Such documents are available free of charge through the web site maintained by the SEC at www.sec.gov, by calling the SEC at telephone number 800-SEC-0330 or by directing a request to the Agrium Investor Relations/Media Department, Agrium Inc, 13131 Lake Fraser Drive S.E., Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2J 7E8.

Agrium and its directors and executive officers and other persons are deemed to be participants in any solicitation of proxies from CF’s stockholders in respect of the proposed transaction with CF. Information regarding Agrium’s directors and executive officers is available in its management proxy circular dated March 23, 2009, relating to the annual general meeting of its shareholders held on May 13, 2009. Other information regarding potential participants in such proxy solicitation and a description of their direct and indirect interests, by security holdings or otherwise, will be contained in any proxy statement filed in connection with the proposed transaction.

All information in this press release concerning CF, including its business, operations and financial results, was obtained from public sources. While Agrium has no knowledge that any such information is inaccurate or incomplete, Agrium has not had the opportunity to verify any of that information.

OTHER

Agrium Inc. is a major Retail supplier of agricultural products and services in North and South America, a leading global Wholesale producer and marketer of all three major agricultural nutrients and the premier supplier of specialty fertilizers in North America through our Advanced Technologies business unit. Agrium’s strategy is to grow across the value chain through acquisition, incremental expansion of its existing operations and through the development, commercialization and marketing of new products and international opportunities. Our strategy places particular emphasis on growth opportunities that both increase and stabilize our earnings profile in the continuing transformation of Agrium.

 

 

A WEBSITE SIMULCAST of the 2009 4th Quarter Conference Call will be available in a listen-only mode beginning Tuesday, February 9th at 9:30 a.m. MT (11:30 a.m. ET). Please visit the following website: www.agrium.com

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION:

Investor/Media Relations:

Richard Downey, Senior Director, Investor Relations

(403) 225-7357

Todd Coakwell, Manager, Investor Relations

(403) 225-7437

Contact us at: www.agrium.com

 

10


AGRIUM INC.

Consolidated Statements of Operations

(Millions of U.S. dollars, except per share amounts)

(Unaudited)

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
 
     2009     2008     2009     2008  

Sales

   1,501      1,985      9,328      10,268   

Direct freight

   59      44      199      237   
                        

Net sales

   1,442      1,941      9,129      10,031   

Cost of product

   1,055      1,203      7,123      6,592   

Inventory and purchase commitment write-down

   4      216      63      216   
                        

Gross profit

   383      522      1,943      3,223   

Expenses

        

Selling

   227      249      918      815   

General and administrative

   50      40      202      192   

Depreciation and amortization

   32      27      124      110   

Potash profit and capital tax

   (4   37      4      162   

Earnings from equity investees

   (8   (1   (27   (4

Asset impairment

   —        87      —        87   

Other expenses (income)

   56      (39   142      (125
                        

Earnings before interest, income taxes and non-controlling interests

   30      122      580      1,986   

Interest on long-term debt

   22      28      91      82   

Other interest

   4      7      19      23   
                        

Earnings before income taxes and non-controlling interests

   4      87      470      1,881   

Income taxes

   (25   13      105      589   

Non-controlling interests

   (1   (50   (1   (30
                        

Net earnings

   30      124      366      1,322   
                        

Earnings per share

        

Basic

   0.19      0.79      2.33      8.39   

Diluted

   0.19      0.79      2.33      8.34   

Weighted average number of shares outstanding (millions)

        

Basic

   157      157      157      158   

Diluted

   158      158      157      159   

 

11


AGRIUM INC.

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(Millions of U.S. dollars)

(Unaudited)

 

     Three months ended
December 31,
    Twelve months ended
December 31,
 
     2009     2008     2009     2008  

Operating

        

Net earnings

   30      124      366      1,322   

Items not affecting cash

        

Inventory and purchase commitment write-down

   4      216      63      216   

Depreciation and amortization

   64      47      242      218   

Earnings from equity investees

   (8   (1   (27   (4

Asset impairment

   —        87      —        87   

Stock-based compensation

   34      (35   73      (25

Unrealized loss (gain) on derivative financial instruments

   17      49      (39   77   

Unrealized foreign exchange (gain) loss

   (5   9      62      (6

Future income taxes

   (89   91      (309   363   

Non-controlling interests

   (1   (50   (1   (30

Other

   10      (104   24      (77

Net changes in non-cash working capital

   848      238      950      (1,097
                        

Cash provided by operating activities

   904      671      1,404      1,044   
                        

Investing

        

Acquisitions, net of cash acquired

   —        —        (15   (2,740

Capital expenditures

   (131   (91   (313   (506

Proceeds from disposal of property, plant and equipment, and investments

   7      4      14      27   

Purchase of CF Industries Holdings, Inc. shares

   —        —        (65   —     

Other

   (48   (37   (134   (156
                        

Cash used in investing activities

   (172   (124   (513   (3,375
                        

Financing

        

Bank indebtedness

   (61   (292   (381   261   

Long-term debt issued

   32      —        78      1,620   

Transaction costs on long-term debt

   (1   —        (1   (12

Repayment of long-term debt

   —        (58   (1   (795

Contributions from non-controlling interests

   —        —        —        171   

Dividends paid

   —        —        (17   (18

Shares issued, net of issuance costs

   6      —        7      4   

Shares repurchased

   —        (35   —        (35

Other

   —        4      —        —     
                        

Cash (used in) provided by financing activities

   (24   (381   (315   1,196   
                        

Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents

   708      166      576      (1,135

Cash and cash equivalents – beginning of period

   225      208      374      1,509   

Deconsolidation of EAgrium subsidiary

   —        —        (17   —     
                        

Cash and cash equivalents – end of period

   933      374      933      374   
                        

 

12


AGRIUM INC.

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(Millions of U.S. dollars)

(Unaudited)

 

     As at
December 31,
     2009      2008

ASSETS

       

Current assets

       

Cash and cash equivalents

   933      374

Accounts receivable

   1,324      1,242

Inventories

   2,137      3,047

Prepaid expenses and deposits

   612      475

Marketable securities

   114      —  
           
   5,120      5,138

Property, plant and equipment

   1,782      2,036

Intangibles

   617      653

Goodwill

   1,801      1,783

Investment in equity investees

   370      71

Other assets

   95      156
           
   9,785      9,837
           

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

       

Current liabilities

       

Bank indebtedness

   106      610

Accounts payable and accrued liabilities

   2,475      2,200
           
   2,581      2,810

Long-term debt

   1,699      1,622

Other liabilities

   381      328

Future income tax liabilities

   521      725

Non-controlling interests

   11      242
           
   5,193      5,727

Shareholders’ equity

   4,592      4,110
           
   9,785      9,837
           

 

13


AGRIUM INC.

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income and Shareholders’ Equity

(Millions of U.S. dollars, except share data)

(Unaudited)

 

     Millions
of
common
shares
    Share
capital
    Contributed
surplus
   Retained
earnings
    Accumulated
other
comprehensive
income
    Total
shareholders’
equity
 

December 31, 2007

   158      1,972      8    1,024      84      3,088   
                                   

Transition adjustment (a)

          4        4   
                                   
   158      1,972      8    1,028      84      3,092   
                                   

Net earnings

          1,322        1,322   

Cash flow hedges (b)

            (14   (14

Foreign currency translation

            (242   (242
                 

Comprehensive income

              1,066   
                 

Dividends

          (17     (17

Shares repurchased

   (1   (15      (20     (35

Stock options exercised

     4             4   
                                   

December 31, 2008

   157      1,961      8    2,313      (172   4,110   
                                   

Net earnings

          366        366   

Cash flow hedges (c)

            (4   (4

Available for sale financial instruments (d)

            29      29   

Foreign currency translation

            100      100   
                 

Comprehensive income

              491   
                 

Dividends

          (17     (17

Stock options exercised

     8             8   
                                   

December 31, 2009

   157      1,969      8    2,662      (47   4,592   
                                   

 

(a) Adjustment at January 1, 2008 for adoption of accounting standards for inventory. Net of tax of $1-million.
(b) Net of tax of $2-million and non-controlling interest of $7-million.
(c) Net of tax of $2-million.
(d) Net of tax of $19-million.

 

14


AGRIUM INC.

Results by Segment

(Unaudited – millions of U.S. dollars)

Schedule 1

 

     Three months ended December 31,
     Retail     Wholesale    Advanced Technologies    Other     Total
     2009     2008     2009    2008    2009     2008    2009     2008     2009    2008

Net Sales – external

   736      1,021      621    857    85      63    —        —        1,442    1,941

                 – inter-segment

   2      1      95    125    10      13    (107   (139   —      —  
                                                      

Total net sales

   738      1,022      716    982    95      76    (107   (139   1,442    1,941

Cost of product

   549      701      534    578    77      57    (105   (133   1,055    1,203

Inventory and purchase commitment write-down

   —        93      2    121    2      2    —        —        4    216
                                                      

Gross profit

   189      228      180    283    16      17    (2   (6   383    522
                                                      

Gross profit (%)

   26      22      25    29    17      22        27    27
                                                      

Selling expenses

   211      242      8    7    9      2    (1   (2   227    249

EBITDA (1)

   (30   (32   169    214    —        8    (44   116      95    306

EBIT (2)

   (57   (54   140    106    (6   6    (46   114      31    172
     Twelve months ended December 31,
     Retail     Wholesale    Advanced Technologies    Other     Total
     2009     2008     2009    2008    2009     2008    2009     2008     2009    2008

Net Sales – external

   6,160      5,511      2,708    4,227    261      293    —        —        9,129    10,031

                 – inter-segment

   4      5      311    459    43      59    (358   (523   —      —  
                                                      

Total net sales

   6,164      5,516      3,019    4,686    304      352    (358   (523   9,129    10,031

Cost of product

   4,982      3,997      2,316    2,774    248      271    (423   (450   7,123    6,592

Inventory and purchase commitment write-down

   —        93      61    121    2      2    —        —        63    216
                                                      

Gross profit

   1,182      1,426      642    1,791    54      79    65      (73   1,943    3,223
                                                      

Gross profit (%)

   19      26      21    38    18      22        21    32
                                                      

Selling expenses

   882      788      34    29    13      6    (11   (8   918    815

EBITDA (1)

   266      560      607    1,670    22      50    (72   41      823    2,321

EBIT (2)

   163      480      495    1,478    3      33    (80   25      581    2,016

 

(1) Net earnings (loss) before interest expense, income taxes, depreciation, amortization and asset impairment.
(2) Net earnings (loss) before interest expense and income taxes.

 

15


AGRIUM INC.

Product Lines

Three months ended December 31

(Unaudited – millions of U.S. dollars)

Schedule 2a

 

     2009    2008  
     Net
Sales
    Cost of
Product
(1)(2)
    Gross
Profit
    Sales
Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling
Price
($/Tonne)
   Cost of
Product

($/Tonne)
   Margin
($/Tonne)
   Net
Sales
    Cost of
Product
(1)(2)
    Gross
Profit
    Sales
Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling
Price

($/Tonne)
   Cost of
Product
($/Tonne)
   Margin
($/Tonne)
 

Wholesale

                                   

Nitrogen

   294      199      95      930    316    214    102    355      219      136      691    514    317    197   

Potash

   135      61      74      353    382    172    210    192      33      159      283    678    116    562   

Phosphate

   91      90      1      232    392    388    4    153      67      86      137    1,117    489    628   

Product purchased for resale

   161      159      2      598    269    266    3    251      359      (108   388    647    925    (278

Other

   35      27      8      146             31      21      10      69         
                                                                             
   716      536      180      2,259    317    237    80    982      699      283      1,568    626    446    180   
                                                                             

Retail (3)

                                   

Crop nutrients

   431      385      46                  631      571      60              

Crop protection products

   234      136      98                  288      155      133              

Seed, services and other

   73      28      45                  103      68      35              
                                                           
   738      549      189                  1,022      794      228              
                                                           

Advanced Technologies (4)

                                   

Turf and ornamental

   75      64      11                  57      48      9              

Agriculture

   20      15      5                  19      11      8              
                                                           
   95      79      16                  76      59      17              
                                                           

Other inter-segment eliminations

   (107   (105   (2               (139   (133   (6           
                                                           

Total

   1,442      1,059      383                  1,941      1,419      522              
                                                           

 

(1) Includes inventory and purchase commitment write-down of $4-million (2008 - $216-million):

 

  (a) Wholesale has $2-million for product purchased for resale (2008 - $121-million)
  (b) Retail has nil for crop nutrients (2008 - $93-million)
  (c) Advanced Technologies has $2-million (2008 - $2-million)

 

(2) Includes depreciation of $32-million (2008 - $20-million):

 

  (a) Wholesale has $28-million (2008 - $18-million): $14-million for nitrogen (2008 - $9-million), $3-million for potash (2008 - $4-million), $10-million for phosphate (2008 - $4-million) and $1-million for other (2008 - $1-million)
  (b) Advanced Technologies has $4-million (2008 - $2-million)

 

(3) International Retail net sales were $76-million (2008 - $106-million) and gross profit was $11-million (2008 - $6-million)
(4) Comparative figures have been reclassified to conform to the current year’s revised categories.

 

16


AGRIUM INC.

Product Lines

Twelve months ended December 31

(Unaudited – millions of U.S. dollars)

Schedule 2b

 

     2009     2008  
     Net
Sales
    Cost of
Product
(1)(2)
    Gross
Profit
    Sales
Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling
Price
($/Tonne)
   Cost of
Product

($/Tonne)
   Margin
($/Tonne)
    Net
Sales
    Cost of
Product
(1)(2)
    Gross
Profit
    Sales
Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling
Price
($/Tonne)
   Cost of
Product
($/Tonne)
   Margin
($/Tonne)
 

Wholesale

                                  

Nitrogen

   1,247      835      412      3,766    331    222    109      1,815      1,103      712      3,551    511    310    201   

Potash

   333      159      174      763    436    208    228      816      184      632      1,686    484    109    375   

Phosphate

   436      398      38      1,004    434    396    38      847      426      421      906    935    470    465   

Product purchased for resale

   816      853      (37   2,672    305    319    (14   971      1,013      (42   1,781    545    569    (24

Other

   187      132      55      567            237      169      68      583         
                                                                              
   3,019      2,377      642      8,772    344    271    73      4,686      2,895      1,791      8,507    551    340    211   
                                                                              

Retail (3)

                                  

Crop nutrients

   2,522      2,310      212                 2,718      2,091      627              

Crop protection products

   2,638      1,990      648                 2,115      1,539      576              

Seed, services and other

   1,004      682      322                 683      460      223              
                                                          
   6,164      4,982      1,182                 5,516      4,090      1,426              
                                                          

Advanced Technologies (4)

                                  

Turf and ornamental

   222      188      34                 239      196      43              

Agriculture

   82      62      20                 113      77      36              
                                                          
   304      250      54                 352      273      79              
                                                          

Other inter-segment eliminations

   (358   (423   65                 (523   (450   (73           
                                                          

Total

   9,129      7,186      1,943                 10,031      6,808      3,223              
                                                          

 

(1) Includes inventory and purchase commitment write-down of $63-million (2008 - $216-million):

 

  (a) Wholesale has $61-million (2008 - $121-million): $2-million for nitrogen (2008 - nil), $2-million for phosphate (2008 - nil), $56-million for product purchased for resale (2008 - $121-million) and $1-million for other (2008 - nil)
  (b) Retail has nil for crop nutrients (2008 - $93-million)
  (c) Advanced Technologies has $2-million (2008 - $2-million)

 

(2) Includes depreciation of $118-million (2008 - $108-million):

 

  (a) Wholesale has $107-million (2008 - $101-million): $55-million for nitrogen (2008 - $52-million), $16-million for potash (2008 - $20-million), $32-million for phosphate (2008 - $25-million) and $4-million for other (2008 - $4-million)
  (b) Advanced Technologies has $11-million (2008 - $7-million)

 

(3) International Retail net sales were $196-million (2008 - $331-million) and gross profit was $25-million (2008 - $72-million)
(4) Comparative figures have been reclassified to conform to the current year’s revised categories.

 

17


AGRIUM INC.

Selected Wholesale Sales Prices and Volumes

(Unaudited)

Schedule 3

 

     Three months ended December 31,    Twelve months ended December 31,
     2009    2008    2009    2008
     Sales Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling Price
($/Tonne)
   Sales Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling Price
($/Tonne)
   Sales Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling Price
($/Tonne)
   Sales Tonnes
(000’s)
   Selling Price
($/Tonne)

Nitrogen

                       

Domestic

                       

Ammonia

   325    357    260    622    1,070    408    1,016    595

Urea

   365    313    258    477    1,445    326    1,308    557

Other

   149    220    113    377    709    242    865    379
                                       

Total domestic nitrogen

   839    314    631    518    3,224    335    3,189    521

International nitrogen

   91    344    60    463    542    310    362    424
                                       

Total nitrogen

   930    316    691    514    3,766    331    3,551    511
                                       

Potash

                       

Domestic

   279    388    154    782    467    457    907    525

International

   74    363    129    563    296    404    779    437
                                       

Total potash

   353    382    283    678    763    436    1,686    484
                                       

Phosphate

   232    392    137    1,117    1,004    434    906    935

Product purchased for resale

   598    269    388    647    2,672    305    1,781    545

Ammonium sulfate

   90    184    48    351    360    225    299    337

Other

   56       21       207       284   
                                       

Total Wholesale

   2,259    317    1,568    626    8,772    344    8,507    551
                                       

 

18