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Five Most-Loved ETFs Of Last Week
November 15, 2022
Last week, ETFs pulled in $31.5 billion in the capital, pushing year-to-date inflows to $531.3 billion.
Via
Talk Markets
Real Estate Ex-US Led Ongoing Rebound In Markets Last Week
November 14, 2022
Vanguard Global ex-US Real Estate led last week’s rallies by surging 8.1%. Despite the powerful gain, the ETF still reflects a deeply bearish trend and so it’s unclear if the latest bounce marks a...
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Drop Their 2-Year Bond Bets To Record Low Level
November 06, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were lower across the board this week as all eight of the bond markets we cover had lower positioning this week.
Via
Talk Markets
How To Navigate The Bear Market And Get Through To The Other Side
November 05, 2022
What is the proper interpretation of current Fed policy? Why did Powell’s press conference seem to contradict the Fed policy statement? Did Powell go off script again?
Via
Talk Markets
November Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes
November 02, 2022
Expected long-run returns for most of the major asset classes continue to look relatively attractive after this year’s market declines.
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds Suggesting Stocks Have Much More Downside?
September 29, 2022
When stocks are showing weakness, we can learn a lot by watching the credit markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Most Global Markets Extend Rebound For Second Week
October 31, 2022
For a second week in a row, the major asset classes rallied, with a notable exception: stocks in emerging markets. Otherwise, risk assets continued to recover in the trading week through Friday, Oct....
Via
Talk Markets
What Has Changed In The Stock Market - Everything, Or Nothing?
October 29, 2022
How much evidence do we have that THE low is in place vs A low? Stock trends remain weak; here's what the weight of the evidence shows.
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds Reversal Would Be Bullish For Stocks!
October 28, 2022
With yields trading at elevated levels and stocks trading at depressed levels, it makes sense that junk bonds are not faring well this year.
Via
Talk Markets
The Fate Of The Q4 Rally
October 24, 2022
This headline-sensitive risk-on rally is trying to front-run the Fed without evidence that the Fed is actually at least pausing.
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Downtrend Continues Amid Market Turmoil
October 16, 2022
The short-term downtrend continues. It looked like the start of a rally on Thursday, but Friday's selling wrong-footed the buyers. The PMO has risen a bit during the market turmoil, so we know there...
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Add To 2-Year Treasury Bonds Bearish Bets
October 15, 2022
Leading the weekly gains for the bond market was the 10-Year Bond (26,709 contracts) with the Ultra US Bond (26,591 contracts), the Long US Bond (19,731 contracts), the Fed Funds (7,692 contracts) and...
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Downtrend Continues Despite The Rise
October 09, 2022
The short-term downtrend continues despite the rise in the PMO index starting last Wednesday. I made a few stock purchases early in the week thinking that I was buying the market dip, but by the end of...
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Turn That Wasn’t
October 04, 2022
With a lag, markets are forcing the Fed‘s hand – there has been no catalyst for yesterday‘s broad-based upswing, yet every asset class is acting as if Powell already pivoted – or paused, as it could be...
Via
Talk Markets
Large COT Speculators Raise 10-Year Treasury Bond Bearish Bets As Prices Drop
October 02, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were slightly higher this week as five out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week.
Via
Talk Markets
Eurodollar And 10-Year Bond Speculator Bets Rebounded Before Fed Hikes
September 25, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were mixed this week as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while the other four markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
A Significant Shift In Sentiment Was Seen
September 24, 2022
It feels as though there was a significant shift in sentiment this past week. Before Wednesday's Fed meeting, market participants were fearful but skeptical about what the Fed has said it wants to do...
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Bonds Speculator Bets Led By Fed Funds And Ultra 10-Year Treasury Bonds
September 18, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were mixed evenly this week as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while four markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
The August Downtrend Is Still Intact
September 18, 2022
Last week I thought we might be seeing a new short-term uptrend, but it turned out to be a bad call, so the downtrend that began on Aug. 19 is still intact. However, it didn't surprise too many people...
Via
Talk Markets
Desperately Seeking Yield - Friday, Sept. 16
September 16, 2022
The dark side of rising interest rates is conspicuous near and far, but there’s also a bright side: higher yields, which are a byproduct of risk assets that take a beating in price, which in turn lifts...
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds Could Send New Bearish Message To Stocks, Says Joe Friday
September 16, 2022
Junk bonds started sending a negative message to stocks last year, as they broke below their 30-week moving average last September.
Via
Talk Markets
Caution Is Called For In This Short-Term Uptrend
September 10, 2022
The general market turned higher this week, and we are now in another short-term uptrend. The PMO index has not posted a white candle, so I would consider it to be an unconfirmed uptrend for now, and...
Via
Talk Markets
Will CPI Catch Many On The Wrong Side Of The Market?
September 10, 2022
Will the CPI (inflation) report coming on September 13, 2022 catch many market participants/investors on the wrong foot? Did this week’s stock market rally bring the breadth thrusts back into play?
Via
Talk Markets
September Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes
September 06, 2022
As financial markets sink, the relative allure of expected returns rises.
Via
Talk Markets
Major Asset Classes August 2022 Performance Review
September 05, 2022
The summer’s over and it looks like the summer rally is history, too.
Via
Talk Markets
Market X-Ray – The Big Bounce Fades
August 31, 2022
Commodities were the best performing asset class earlier in the year but they are undergoing a sharp correction now.
Via
Talk Markets
Junk Bonds Selloff Keeps Bears In Charge
August 31, 2022
Junk bonds are important as they represent investors' willingness to take on risk. So when they sell off as bad as we have seen this year, it’s a warning.
Via
Talk Markets
The Federal Reserve Is Hurting The Stock Market And Doesn’t Care
August 29, 2022
On Friday the Dow fell over 1000 points after Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell spoke and said that he was willing to have a recession if that is what it will take to beat down inflation.
Via
Talk Markets
Corporate HY Funds Report Second Largest Weekly Outflows (-$4.6 Billion) of 2022
August 28, 2022
At the close of the week, U.S. broad-based equity indices traded negative for the first week in six—S&P 500 (-3.12%), Nasdaq (-3.92%), Russell 2000 (-2.62%), and DJIA (-2.98%). The 10-two Treasury...
Via
Talk Markets
The Short-Term Market Downtrend Continues
August 27, 2022
The short-term market downtrend continues. The PMO index turned red early last week, confirming the downtrend signal. Now the PMO is very close to the bottom of its range, which signals that the best...
Via
Talk Markets
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