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Risk Off Remains Dominant Theme
October 19, 2023
It was “risk off” again first thing this morning as Europe’s leading indices fell along with US index futures following Wednesday’s selling.
Via
Talk Markets
Greenback Remains Bid And The Market Has Not Given Up On JPY150
October 19, 2023
The Dollar Index rose from a marginal new four-day low to a marginally new four-day high.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Wednesday, October 18
October 19, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, October 18.
Via
Talk Markets
VIX Update: Can Stocks Keep Weathering This Storm?
October 18, 2023
Here's an analysis of VIX, showing significant movement over the years. Since 2021, it served as consistent support, even during the bullish market of 2021. In 2023, it broke below, spiked during the...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Inside The Israel Conflict, Update On De-Dollarization
October 18, 2023
The big news over the past week and a half has been the new conflict in the Middle East. And in the days since the attack, the situation has hardly de-escalated, while the financial markets have begun...
Via
Talk Markets
Why The Recent Economic Data Suggests That There Won't Be Rate Cuts In The Short Term
October 17, 2023
An analysis of the economic data released today.
Via
Talk Markets
How Is The Economic Data Impacting The 10yr Yield?
October 13, 2023
A look at the latest data alongside the chart.
Via
Talk Markets
All About Rates
October 13, 2023
If you want to know what stocks are going to do next on any given day right now, look no further than a one-minute chart of the yield on the 10-year.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Spark: Economic Resilience Pushes Rates Higher
October 18, 2023
Long-end rates have returned to – or even surpassed – yield levels seen just before the start of the conflict in the Middle East. This is not to say that the market is becoming complacent about the...
Via
Talk Markets
Can Rising Yields Crash the Stock Market? QQQ & TNX Analysis
October 18, 2023
In this video, I cover the impact of the rising yields and what it means for stocks and the stock market going forward.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites - Wednesday, Oct. 18
October 18, 2023
China activity data for September is due, headlined by 3Q23 GDP
Via
Talk Markets
The Big Story Is It Gold Bug Glory
October 17, 2023
What’s next for gold is likely determined by how the Israeli government’s ground troop invasion plays out.
Via
Talk Markets
Rising Rates Put Stocks On Roller Coaster Ride October 17
October 17, 2023
It was a busy day for stocks, as rates exploded to the upside following the hot retail sales report.
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Tuesday, Oct. 17
October 17, 2023
The 10-year yield in September rose above 4% for the first time since 2008, based on monthly data, which is used in our modeling.
Via
Talk Markets
The Markets Remain On Edge
October 17, 2023
The markets remain on edge. The press reports US President Biden is planning an imminent trip to Israel while Iran warns of
Via
Talk Markets
Consequences Are Always Unintended
October 17, 2023
While this time may seem different in the short term, the unintended consequences of monetary policies have always manifested themselves in the long term.
Via
Talk Markets
This Business Cycle May Very Well Surprise You
October 17, 2023
Some market conditions are suggesting that we may be facing a different business cycle in the next 3 years.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites - Tuesday, Oct. 17
October 17, 2023
Risk sentiment improves - but that could change rapidly. Reserve Bank of Australia minutes and Singapore NODX are out today
Via
Talk Markets
Yields, Stocks, & Crypto Jump; VIX, Gold, & Crude Dump
October 16, 2023
It seems that because World War III did, literally, not break out this weekend, it is BTFD time... and there was much rejoicing that
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Stocks and Bonds Go Their Separate Ways
October 16, 2023
Stocks were up today by around 1.1% on the S&P 500, but we have gone nowhere now in a week, so the bulls are making no progress.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Capital Markets Are Calm Though Anxiety Continues To Run High
October 16, 2023
The risk that the war in Israel spreads remains palatable, and several observers have warned of the greatest risks of a world war in a generation. Still, the capital markets remain relatively calm.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites - Monday, Oct. 16
October 15, 2023
Risk aversion is the main driver in Asian markets today - Indonesian trade data out later.
Via
Talk Markets
Peeking Into The Future Through Futures, What Non-Commercials Are Buying, Via CoT
October 15, 2023
On September 27th, the Nasdaq 100 stopped going down at 14433. As things stand, bears are probably eyeing this level.
Via
Talk Markets
Bond Market Volatility Sinks Stocks, With More To Come
October 14, 2023
Stocks started the week off strong but fell sharply following a hot CPI and increasing bond market volatility.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
What Our Bond/Stock Model Says About Allocating Assets
October 14, 2023
Stock valuations have risen not only because stock prices are higher for the year, but because interest rates have been climbing as well. Indeed, the benchmark US Treasury 10-year bond yield is now...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
The Bull Market's Moment Of Truth
October 13, 2023
Runaway government spending, tensions in the Middle East, spikes in interest rates and oil prices - at what point do they become too much for the bull market?
Via
Talk Markets
The Dow Is Going Higher
October 13, 2023
The market professionals do not want the public positioned in the market better than they are. Market professionals use the news to scare the public out of their hard-earned winning positions.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Better Be Watching The Dollar
October 13, 2023
The dollar did not pull back decently over the past week like bond yields did. If you are bullish on stocks, you do not want the dollar to make a new high for 2023 anytime soon.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Dollar Steadies After Yesterday's Surge, Oil Jumps Ahead Of The Weekend While Yields Soften
October 13, 2023
The capital markets seemed to have an exaggerated response to the US CPI, where the headline rate, flattered by the rise in energy, rose by 0.1% in September than forecast.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites: China's CPI Inflation Report Due
October 13, 2023
Following the US, we get China's CPI inflation report today. Indian inflation has dropped sharply and the MAS leaves policy unchanged
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
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